Tropical and Heavy Rain Update June 17, 2026 - 4:30 AM CDT

Published: 06-17-2026 | Category: General


Here is an update for the latest tropical and heavy rain threat this week

 

Key Messages:

  • A lull in rain is currently forecast during the day, before the risk of heavy rainfall significantly increases late tonight.
  • Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to make landfall tonight near the TX/LA border. It may briefly become a tropical storm this afternoon right before landfall.
  • Tropical Storm conditions will be possible along the coast and offshore from Sabine Pass to Morgan City.
  • Additional rounds of storms will produce areas of potentially significant flash flooding, especially where heavy rain/intense rainfall rates repeatedly moves over the same locations.
  • A few strong/severe storms will be capable of damaging winds up to 60 mph and a few brief tornadoes.
  • Minor coastal flooding and hazardous marine conditions will become increasing concerns Wednesday and Thursday with 2 to 4 feet of inundation above normally dry ground in SW LA, 1-3 ft in SE LA.
  • Monitoring for likely rises in several rivers from the heavy rain this week - visit https://water.noaa.gov/ for the latest forecast.

Click here for briefing slides.