Tropical Depression Nine Develops

Changes from previous update:  

• The tropical disturbance in the Bay of Campeche has become Tropical Depression Nine.
• The NHC has begun issuing advisories with a forecast track and intensity 
• Just a quick reminder that the advisory cycle is every 6 hours (4am/pm and 10am/pm)

Overview:

• This system is forecast to move generally eastward before turning northward, bringing tropical impacts to the northern Gulf coast late this week (generally Friday into Saturday).
• Interests along the northern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system.

Confidence:

• Confidence is increasing that Tropical Depression Nine will strengthen into a hurricane and bring impacts to portions of the northern Gulf Coast late this week.
• Confidence in local impacts is gradually increasing, but the exact timing and magnitude of those impacts remain uncertain.

Impacts:

• Specific timing and location remains uncertain, but it is becoming more likely that portions of the local area will see impacts from this system.  
• Impacts will depend on the exact track and intensity of this system. However, there is potential that it will bring a multi-hazard threat:
• Increased tides/storm surge
• Heavy rainfall
• Tropical storm force or stronger wind gusts
• More details will be provided as forecast confidence increases.